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Japan’s Security Embrace of Taiwan: Legal and Diplomatic Revolutions in Acti

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Japan and the U.S. benefit from the preservation of the status quo across the first island chain, but the military balance over Taiwan and in the region has recently shifted in China’s favor. This is the main driver behind Japan’s overhaul of its security doctrine and force posture, and deepened military coordination with the U.S., starting with the first Trump administration. These moves, along with understated diplomatic and legal revolutions--nominally, Japan’s treatment of Taiwan’s diplomatic status, and its re-interpretation of Art. 9 –took place under and since the second Abe administration. Yet, the implications of Japan’s security and diplomatic policy changes for a Taiwan contingency are underappreciated by the literature. In fact, tensions across the Taiwan Strait may simmer as China’s assertiveness persists and the military buildup on both sides feeds action-reaction cycles. Dr. Giulio Pugliese is the Director of the EU-Asia Project at the European University Institute, and an incoming Assistant Professor in Asia Studies at the University of Hawaii at Manoa. -- (More information on the flyer)

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