  {"id":153339,"date":"2021-12-17T02:00:35","date_gmt":"2021-12-17T12:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hawaii.edu\/news\/?p=153339"},"modified":"2021-12-17T08:35:55","modified_gmt":"2021-12-17T18:35:55","slug":"economic-recovery-resumes-omicron-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hawaii.edu\/news\/2021\/12\/17\/economic-recovery-resumes-omicron-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic recovery resumes, but Omicron looms"},"content":{"rendered":"<span class=\"span-reading-time rt-reading-time\" style=\"display: block;\"><span class=\"rt-label rt-prefix\">Reading time: <\/span> <span class=\"rt-time\"> 2<\/span> <span class=\"rt-label rt-postfix\">minutes<\/span><\/span><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hawaii.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/manoa-uhero-unemployment-outlook.jpg\" alt=\"scenic view of Honolulu\" width=\"676\" height=\"381\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-122729\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hawaii.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/manoa-uhero-unemployment-outlook.jpg 676w, https:\/\/www.hawaii.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/manoa-uhero-unemployment-outlook-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.hawaii.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/manoa-uhero-unemployment-outlook-130x73.jpg 130w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 676px) 100vw, 676px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span aria-label=\"Hawaii\">Âé¶¹´«Ã½<\/span>\u2019s economic recovery, which resumed with the end of a late-summer COVID-19 Delta wave, faces an uncertain threat from the Omicron variant. That\u2019s according to a new report from the <a href=\"https:\/\/uhero.hawaii.edu\">University of <span aria-label=\"Hawaii\">Âé¶¹´«Ã½<\/span> Economic Research Organization<\/a> (<abbr>UHERO<\/abbr>), released on December 17.<\/p>\n<p>&ldquo;At this point, more is unknown than known about Omicron. We do not yet know whether it is more or less virulent than earlier variants, or whether it can evade the protection of existing vaccines,&rdquo; said the forecast. &ldquo;The good news for <span aria-label=\"Hawaii\">Âé¶¹´«Ã½<\/span> is our very high vaccination rate, which will surely provide some protection. And new treatments will reduce the severity of health impacts. Our underlying economic fundamentals are strong. But it is increasingly clear that COVID-19 will not just go away, and that efforts to adapt to ongoing risks will be key to a sustained recovery.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p>Other highlights of the report:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>National and international lenses<\/strong>: U.S. and global economies saw a modest summer slowdown during the Delta wave. Labor market gains have been slow to arrive, and now consumer price inflation has surged. This is due both to supply chain bottlenecks and increased demand from pandemic support policies, accumulated savings and robust spending. In response, the U.S. Federal Reserve has signaled a more rapid phase-out of supportive policies.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Visitor industry<\/strong>: New travel restrictions have pushed back the forecast for the return of international visitors. Even if they are predicted to rejoin the strong U.S. market in 2022, a full recovery of this sector of tourism may remain several years down the road.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Labor market<\/strong>: Employment gains over the past two years have brought local unemployment down sharply. But many workers who left the labor force during the pandemic have yet to return. This has led to a tight labor market and upward pressure on wages. The payroll job count will expand at a moderate pace over the next two years, but that will still leave the job base in 2023 about 5% lower than its 2019 level.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Housing<\/strong>: Local home prices have surged this year, mirroring a national trend. Together with high rents and higher consumer price inflation, this is a challenging time for home-hunting families. Construction activity continues at a healthy pace, and the industry will benefit from new and pending federal infrastructure spending.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><abbr>UHERO<\/abbr> is housed in <abbr title=\"University of Hawaii\">UH<\/abbr> M\u0101noa\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/socialsciences.hawaii.edu\/\">College of Social Sciences<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Read more on <a href=\"https:\/\/uhero.hawaii.edu\/uhero-forecast-for-the-state-of-hawaii-recovery-resumes-but-omicron-looms\/\"><abbr>UHERO<\/abbr>\u2019s website<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>This work is an example of <abbr>UH<\/abbr> M\u0101noa\u2019s goal of <a href=\"https:\/\/manoa.hawaii.edu\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/manoa-2025-strategic-plan.pdf#page=25\">Excellence in Research: Advancing the Research and Creative Work Enterprise<\/a> (<span class=\"small-text\"><abbr title=\"Portable Document Format\">PDF<\/abbr><\/span>), one of four goals identified in the <a href=\"https:\/\/manoa.hawaii.edu\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/manoa-2025-strategic-plan.pdf\">2015&#8211;25 Âé¶¹´«Ã½<\/a> (<span class=\"small-text\"><abbr title=\"Portable Document Format\">PDF<\/abbr><\/span>), updated in December 2020.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The report covers the visitor industry, labor market, housing, and the national and international outlooks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30],"tags":[301,1411,1417,197,1363,1026,9,343],"class_list":["post-153339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research","tag-college-of-social-sciences","tag-covid-19","tag-covid-19-research","tag-economics","tag-manoa-research","tag-social-science","tag-uh-manoa","tag-uhero","entry","has-media"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The report covers the visitor industry, labor market, housing, and the national and international outlooks.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Âé¶¹´«Ã½News\"\/>\n\t<meta name=\"keywords\" content=\"university of hawaii,uh manoa,uh economic 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